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Texas Population Projections Program

The Texas Population Projections Program produces projections of the population of the state and all counties in the state by age, sex and race/ethnicity. These projections are used extensively by public and private entities.

Every 2-3 years, the program also produces state and county level projections through 2050 for the following:

  • Household projections by tenure
  • Labor force
  • Enrollment in primary/secondary education
  • Enrollment in community colleges and universities

2018 Population Projections Release Update

Following the release of our 2018 population projections, we observed anomalies in the projections of the non-Hispanic Asian and non-Hispanic Other populations in a few counties. We have revised our projections to address this issue. The new updates do not affect the non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, or the Hispanic populations and have a minimal impact on the state total population.

Both the downloadable data and the online projections tool have been revised to reflect these updates. If you downloaded our population projections prior to *July 18, 2019*, please make sure to re-download the data and use our updated projections.

We apologize for any inconvenience. Please contact the Texas Demographic Center with any questions. Thank you!


2018 Population Projections Methodology   (PDF)

Population projections prepared by the Texas Population Estimates and Projections Program include a summary of methodology. Please carefully review the entire summary prior to using the data.

The methodology utilized by the population projections program include the following highlights:

  • Detailed projections include: a single year of age, two sexes, and 5 racial/ethnic groups (NH White, NH Black, Hispanic, NH Asian, and NH Other), utilizing the cohort-component projection model
  • Special populations, fertility rates, mortality rates, and residual migration rates are among the variables incorporated into the model

2018 Population Projections Data Downloads

  • Population Projections Tool
    Online tool provides access to searchable estimates information for viewing and downloading.
  • CSV Files: Contain Population Estimates Data only in a Comma Delimited file format

Sex and Race/Ethnicity Total Population for 2010-2050 in 1 year increments (zipped CSV file)


Age, Sex, and Race/Ethnicity (ASRE) Population

  • By Age Group for 2010-2050 in 1 year increments (zipped CSV files)
    • Population Projections for the State of Texas
    • Population Projections for Individual Texas Counties
    • Population Projections for the State of Texas and Counties in one file (~ 1.98 MB)
  • By Single Years of Age for 2010-2050 in 1 year increments (zipped CSV files)
    • Population Projections for the State of Texas
    • Population Projections for Individual Texas Counties
    • Population Projections for the State of Texas and Counties in one file
      File Size: ~ 17 MB compressed / ~ 84 MB uncompressed / ~ 1.01 million records. This file may not load completely into MS Excel.