Lloyd Potter
Texas State Demographer
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Texas Population Projections Program

The Texas Demographic Center generates biennial population projections for the state and its counties by age, sex, and race/ethnicity. The projections should be used only with full awareness of the inherent limitations of population projections and with detailed knowledge of the procedures and assumptions delineated in the methodology document.

Past vintages of population projections are available upon request. Please contact us.

Vintage 2024 Projections

The Texas Demographic Center Vintage 2024 projections consist of the state's and its counties residential populations by age, sex, and race/ethnicity for each year from 2020 through 2060. The projections are available under three migration scenarios.

Projected Population Growth Interactive Chart

Use the interactive graph to track how Texas’ population has changed through the years, with several scenarios to compare.

Texas County Population Projections

View your county’s population projections in the table below.
County20202030204020502060
Anderson57,93760,08060,31359,86559,622
Andrews18,61621,38625,39128,93131,789
Angelina86,50286,93084,47580,67276,447
Aransas23,93925,84726,04726,09126,463
Archer8,5558,8798,4497,9137,303
Armstrong1,8511,8831,9431,9611,951
Atascosa49,29055,10258,42360,01460,450
Austin30,13533,13933,96434,30234,523
Bailey6,8676,9406,7116,4316,177
Bandera20,99422,49121,61820,68220,103
Bastrop98,072129,177152,614173,425191,798
Baylor3,4623,5463,5163,4863,487
Bee31,04231,02830,22428,73527,184
Bell372,404427,090470,487509,563542,984
Bexar2,015,6352,292,7242,543,5662,746,5092,913,976
Blanco11,45313,82914,35514,68015,375
Borden642581575545504
Bosque18,24919,19019,29919,24319,334
Bowie92,91491,58990,40788,41786,220
Brazoria373,516442,778490,668529,684558,767
Brazos234,509269,376307,178349,234387,765
Brewster9,5649,6989,7799,6799,657
Briscoe1,4221,4331,3451,2441,142
Brooks7,0966,8036,7936,6376,458
Brown38,05939,44740,45940,95541,532
Burleson17,68220,46720,67520,56820,562
Burnet49,48059,77066,21671,61677,283
Caldwell45,94757,54865,89673,02578,872
Calhoun20,06319,06617,37315,52413,801
Callahan13,75314,79315,02615,05114,989
Cameron421,620435,766434,954420,209400,630
Camp12,43013,29813,37313,15012,858
Carson5,7935,6765,4645,1464,822
Cass28,44027,63125,79523,84922,130
Castro7,3337,0736,5696,0205,638
Chambers47,00163,23175,31486,26095,373
Cherokee50,61152,52351,01649,13546,939
Childress6,6586,6586,5746,4126,305
Clay10,25510,4829,9949,3498,731
Cochran2,5642,4112,1692,0051,964
Coke3,3203,4973,6503,7503,854
Coleman7,6837,4176,4155,4114,604
Collin1,075,6301,418,5601,706,5191,974,1562,208,594
Collingsworth2,6432,4552,2442,0351,816
Colorado20,64621,35320,91820,31219,783
Comal163,638232,379284,492333,068379,616
Comanche13,62914,34014,06113,57513,175
Concho3,3163,1102,9313,1133,415
Cooke41,74946,17248,87050,91952,540
Coryell83,12692,086100,850109,943118,244
Cottle1,3641,2901,2301,1531,037
Crane4,6754,9375,3675,5195,577
Crockett3,0952,5342,0951,7581,565
Crosby5,0954,6283,9713,4082,973
Culberson2,1862,2412,1011,9291,803
Dallam7,1387,7438,0258,1988,331
Dallas2,610,7432,784,1692,943,8143,054,0503,142,604
Dawson12,47011,06710,0079,1608,374
Deaf Smith18,52617,94116,95115,54314,082
Delta5,2235,7305,8765,9555,993
Denton914,5021,185,4701,416,4481,623,7761,805,376
DeWitt19,84420,48220,63420,32019,998
Dickens1,7601,5381,225986844
Dimmit8,5827,3265,8754,3343,093
Donley3,2803,0252,8032,5442,307
Duval9,8108,5236,6765,0123,621
Eastland17,79418,24517,90517,35116,963
Ector165,510185,736209,517228,875243,764
Edwards1,4201,203954744595
El Paso866,698907,657944,688956,994958,800
Ellis194,328257,977300,439337,482368,644
Erath42,71946,95450,96254,76257,854
Falls16,96217,10615,91214,70513,656
Fannin35,97740,42043,12845,21347,180
Fayette24,51225,61025,66625,44625,524
Fisher3,6773,6003,4153,2463,113
Floyd5,3744,5473,7703,1442,689
Foard1,0901,017906780680
Fort Bend829,3211,090,9021,330,5951,559,2761,766,076
Franklin10,37010,94210,85910,54010,271
Freestone19,44220,50420,07319,30118,501
Frio18,41420,39321,53222,24322,616
Gaines21,70425,49229,79433,54836,514
Galveston351,599400,754455,333502,777545,100
Garza5,8114,4864,3954,5044,798
Gillespie26,76529,06930,79632,78035,220
Glasscock1,1171,1681,1611,1021,047
Goliad7,0237,1276,9206,6206,245
Gonzales19,68120,06219,88519,14318,402
Gray21,19520,36119,33417,94316,729
Grayson136,150159,730174,398186,771197,806
Gregg124,316127,049126,733125,245123,274
Grimes29,43835,33638,11140,19942,210
Guadalupe173,709219,523260,525297,534329,470
Hale32,46729,85626,20222,23918,790
Hall2,7992,7392,5222,2632,067
Hamilton8,2478,7338,8728,8808,920
Hansford5,2524,9814,9024,8704,846
Hardeman3,5613,1892,8072,4292,111
Hardin56,35559,27359,53958,77957,224
Harris4,735,3795,370,3685,929,7316,424,7126,865,248
Harrison68,80772,93475,59577,20478,149
Hartley5,3404,7954,4934,3004,270
Haskell5,4375,4155,4095,3985,488
Hays243,990343,286430,010512,085587,211
Hemphill3,3662,9462,6762,3232,083
Henderson82,40289,97093,36995,89798,433
Hidalgo872,899966,8341,037,9161,073,1401,086,691
Hill35,96439,83941,05741,55942,019
Hockley21,49720,64619,18417,28315,339
Hood62,05775,07385,08994,714104,835
Hopkins36,82839,93241,36542,01042,343
Houston22,07121,47720,19418,71717,514
Howard34,80831,37532,01632,04931,836
Hudspeth3,1933,5253,3053,0432,804
Hunt100,251127,210141,239153,093163,091
Hutchinson20,57719,01617,59715,95114,361
Irion1,5121,5341,4761,3551,242
Jack8,4879,2779,0768,7598,394
Jackson14,99716,09617,13517,92918,621
Jasper32,92331,23028,11025,00022,320
Jeff Davis1,9841,6141,288968738
Jefferson256,172255,046256,999258,399260,000
Jim Hogg4,8464,4084,0823,7293,393
Jim Wells38,88937,90435,73932,77929,759
Johnson180,947227,180254,253276,877294,713
Jones19,68020,76920,27619,47618,457
Karnes14,81015,43915,85715,95116,199
Kaufman147,170224,409269,798311,251346,304
Kendall44,57258,16069,64779,98489,726
Kenedy350356356361359
Kent759723717683649
Kerr52,69655,82958,96162,30566,384
Kimble4,2934,2333,8243,3953,078
King267266272267269
Kinney3,1252,9922,6692,3472,081
Kleberg30,98629,33027,20924,82122,182
Knox3,3513,1933,0912,9292,707
La Salle6,6526,7256,6396,4926,323
Lamar50,13351,45951,26850,44449,363
Lamb13,00612,34911,82711,18310,359
Lampasas21,70324,71626,58127,85529,127
Lavaca20,35221,65523,20924,49125,772
Lee17,50619,13720,04820,43820,736
Leon15,77715,85914,31012,79011,595
Liberty92,507125,607143,225158,091169,975
Limestone22,15022,03020,93519,81819,027
Lipscomb3,0382,7762,5892,3982,256
Live Oak11,34811,81411,33710,75110,225
Llano21,31724,29126,16928,38031,280
Loving6764646463
Lubbock311,595346,748374,572396,499414,366
Lynn5,6075,9095,7815,6135,403
Madison13,45914,03314,02313,69513,388
Marion9,8699,4368,8078,0577,466
Martin5,2615,4285,7065,8215,763
Mason3,9683,9333,7883,6193,563
Matagorda36,29536,03935,12533,63132,075
Maverick57,88560,02561,53961,83361,742
McCulloch7,5887,1756,6546,1745,736
McLennan261,195283,691303,752320,275333,808
McMullen597569561537480
Medina51,06958,13661,82464,23965,745
Menard1,9611,8671,6951,4971,364
Midland170,725201,592229,742255,207275,323
Milam24,77826,32826,28225,77225,271
Mills4,4504,3684,0913,8043,533
Mitchell9,0118,9498,8328,6458,397
Montague20,04322,44623,27423,62124,034
Montgomery625,418846,1471,010,5071,160,8871,293,213
Moore21,26921,29720,39919,47918,521
Morris11,97311,65610,7479,7708,990
Motley1,0641,002979909854
Nacogdoches64,64264,92363,19261,29659,022
Navarro52,85959,83865,10169,26272,507
Newton12,15910,7528,8607,0765,838
Nolan14,72914,12214,00113,66113,324
Nueces353,599359,224361,393354,533344,127
Ochiltree9,9539,6499,3968,8018,049
Oldham1,7631,7341,5801,3681,184
Orange84,75887,77189,46189,64188,792
Palo Pinto28,45030,42030,19429,35628,529
Panola22,50022,36821,05119,42918,019
Parker149,560197,497227,686255,005278,298
Parmer9,8549,5969,2858,9498,553
Pecos15,18414,64514,35113,76613,101
Polk50,49457,67463,00368,19573,896
Potter118,304113,328110,952108,091106,018
Presidio6,1064,5533,0262,0581,598
Rains12,17814,28715,81017,23618,695
Randall141,315162,082180,064195,161208,401
Reagan3,4233,2333,3123,2363,068
Real2,7502,5382,0841,6411,380
Red River11,55511,11710,0398,9348,036
Reeves14,76912,61213,45614,09214,520
Refugio6,7406,5466,2065,7755,453
Roberts823828757672586
Robertson16,76917,73117,56317,23716,817
Rockwall109,202154,613185,590213,354236,685
Runnels9,9219,7369,5939,2498,954
Rusk52,25352,45650,60348,09245,562
Sabine9,8919,6448,9238,1947,630
San Augustine7,9257,4166,6916,0165,478
San Jacinto27,53729,89130,42330,54730,785
San Patricio68,84974,06177,51479,14279,853
San Saba5,7285,3224,9254,5864,311
Schleicher2,4431,9141,4541,097894
Scurry16,92316,36816,63316,79716,790
Shackelford3,1093,0782,8482,6012,356
Shelby24,04923,41321,87720,02618,284
Sherman2,7912,7662,7142,5922,413
Smith234,203261,472279,971295,186308,536
Somervell9,20610,78611,91212,71813,419
Starr65,87768,86271,36371,67071,058
Stephens9,0959,3519,0788,6708,261
Sterling1,3841,5901,9342,1992,427
Stonewall1,2451,1841,043905798
Sutton3,3582,9672,4442,0521,875
Swisher6,9476,5635,9925,3484,895
Tarrant2,116,2962,393,9942,646,5222,852,2373,020,703
Taylor143,490155,081165,530175,512184,570
Terrell750680635575542
Terry11,79011,27310,74510,1949,662
Throckmorton1,4511,4841,3881,2791,168
Titus31,29630,92829,28927,07424,661
Tom Green120,203126,212134,338140,266145,177
Travis1,296,6041,517,8441,746,8161,949,4742,137,635
Trinity13,63814,23613,52712,63012,016
Tyler19,82919,51917,72815,73114,108
Upshur41,04045,07546,65847,39847,630
Upton3,3033,2043,2763,2523,166
Uvalde24,56424,07921,85519,32617,058
Val Verde47,60546,45143,16439,29935,388
Van Zandt59,74869,61176,86183,19989,144
Victoria91,31593,98595,78295,47594,172
Walker76,56387,67594,607101,238107,480
Waller57,28972,14684,79396,621106,783
Ward11,67711,81012,89413,61914,028
Washington35,80238,47639,87341,17642,412
Webb267,368278,184281,999276,286265,463
Wharton41,58642,18742,13341,22340,069
Wheeler4,9764,6484,2323,7753,315
Wichita129,624128,496125,008121,051117,236
Wilbarger12,84512,39912,17011,69011,271
Willacy20,14118,99017,12615,13813,643
Williamson615,631834,3931,014,9721,185,1681,334,656
Wilson50,05159,37965,72570,55274,181
Winkler7,7547,9788,7109,2519,626
Wise68,93686,43394,718101,347106,096
Wood45,03850,86554,12657,28161,205
Yoakum7,6737,3996,8886,2955,739
Young17,84418,39218,43618,25818,055
Zapata13,87513,46812,76311,71010,575
Zavala9,6608,0046,0594,3623,088

Important user notes

Major changes have been made to the Vintage 2024 methodology. Users may notice differences in the following areas:

  1. The data includes April 1st, 2020 Decennial Census Counts and the projection for the July 1st, 2020 population. The two 2020 records are distinguished by the “year_month” column.
  2. The projected population from 2020 to 2024 is aligned with the Census Bureau’s Vintage 2024 July 1st Estimates.
  3. The projections are available with three migration scenarios, mid, low, and high, corresponding to the three national projection series produced by the Census Bureau in 2023.

Population Projections 2020-2060
Suggested Citations

Projections Methodology

Review the methodology prior to using the data.

Build Your Own Table

Create custom tables by your selected demographic characteristics, geography, and migration scenarios.
Custom Download

Download Data

Download the zip file with data for the state and all counties by age, race, sex, and methodology.

Mid Migration Scenario

Assumes the US and Texas migration patterns remain similar to the past two decades.
Recommended for most purposes.

High Migration Scenario

Assumes a higher migration scenario than the average patterns in the past two decades.
Recommended for use when immigration levels are high.

Low Migration Scenario

Assumes a lower migration scenario than the average pattern in the past two decades.
Recommended for use when immigration levels are low.