• Texas Population Projections 2010 to 2050

    The Texas Demographic Center released updated population projections for the State and all its counties. In this brief, we summarize our most recent projections, employing migration patterns between 2010 and 2015, including a new race/ethnicity category—non-Hispanic Asian, and expanding the age distribution to 95 years and older. We provide information on the projected growth of the population by sex, select age groups, and race/ethnicity. We also include a list of the fastest growing and declining counties in the State. [View Report]

  • 2018 Population Projections

    The Texas Demographic Center produces projections of the total population of the State and all its counties. Projections of populations are also available by age, sex, and race/ethnicity. TDC projections aid state and local governments, policymakers, and other stakeholders to anticipate and plan for population change and shifts in the demographic composition of the State and counties. [Download Projections]

  • 2016 Population Estimates

    The Texas Demographic Center produces annual estimates of the total population of counties and places in the state. Estimates of county populations by age, sex, and race/ethnicity are also available. The TDC annual estimates aid state and local governments, policymakers, and other stakeholders to gauge the growth and demographic composition of the state, counties, and places. [Download Estimates]

  • URBAN TEXAS: Metropolitan Immigration in Texas

    Immigration is an important source of growth in the urban areas of Texas. MSAs in Texas contain about 89 percent of the state’s population but receive around 97 percent of all recent Texas immigrants. These immigrants represent an increasing variety of countries and Asian immigration is now outpacing Mexican immigration in the state’s major MSAs. [More Details]

  • URBAN TEXAS: Recent Metropolitan Migration Patterns

    Migration from outside of Texas is a key factor in the state’s recent population growth. This is especially true in metropolitan areas. The state’s 25 metro areas had a net gain of 5,943 residents from internal migration within Texas and this is substantially smaller than the 276,948 gained from net domestic migration and immigration. [More Details]

  • URBAN TEXAS: Components of Change

    Recent population growth in Texas has been robust due to a combination of natural increase and net migration. However, what is true at the state level is not always true at the local level. Differences in the components of population change selectively favor urban growth over rural growth. We find that migration is transforming the state’s largest metropolitan areas into urban growth hubs while many rural areas are experiencing flat or negative population growth. [More Details]

  • In contemporary Texas, the vast majority of population growth occurs in metropolitan areas. With every decennial census since 1850, the state’s population share in what are today’s metropolitan counties has increased while the population share of the non-metropolitan counties has declined. By 2010, 84.7 percent of Texans lived in urban areas. At present growth rates, the Texas urban population will double in 40 years. Metropolitan areas in Texas are projected to have more than 90 percent of the state’s 2010-2050 total population growth. [More Details]

  • Texas Migration

    In recent years, Texas has become a favorite destination for domestic and international migrants, adding close to 250,000 people a year through migration. In addition to this external migration, over a million Texans move from one county to another within the state. Together, these migration streams produce a substantial population redistribution within Texas every year. This brief examines how these external and internal migration streams are affecting different areas within the state. [More Details]

  • Texas Mobility

    The stream of people moving to Texas has received much attention in recent years. Migration has added around a quarter million new Texans a year, and this has raised concerns about whether the state can accommodate this kind of growth. However, with one million people moving between Texas counties, far more migration begins and ends within the state. [More Details]

  • Aging in Texas: Introduction

    When it comes to demographic shifts, Texas often leads the pack. However, with population aging trends, Texas seems to be on a unique path. This brief is the first in our Aging in Texas series. In this brief, we explore the seeming contradiction of large and fast growth among the Texas elderly – Texas has the third largest elderly population in the country, and this population grew at a faster rate than the nation’s elderly population – as well as Texas’s ranking among the youngest states in the country. [View Report]

Texas Demographic Center Updates

2017 Preliminary Population Estimates

February 14, 2019
Preliminary Population Estimates are available for July 1, 2017. Please be aware that these estimates are preliminary and may change as a result of the review process. Final estimates will be posted following completion of the review process. [View Estimates]

Texas Population Projections 2010 to 2050

January 28, 2019
The Texas Demographic Center produces population projections to help planners and policymakers anticipate future demand for services and pressures on infrastructure. This projections brief summarizes our most recent set of projections, employing a migration scenario based on migration patterns observed between 2010 and 2015, including an additional race/ethnicity category – non-Hispanic Asian, and expanding the age distribution to 95 years and older. We provide information on the projected growth of the population by sex, select age groups, and race/ethnicity. We also include a list of the fastest growing and declining counties in the State. [View Report]

Diabetes in Texas

Decmeber 17, 2018
Diabetes is a significant burden on Texas health. Texas has a higher-than-national prevalence and incidence of diabetes. In addition, diabetes prevalence has been growing in Texas since at least the 1990s and disproportionately impacts vulnerable Texas groups and geographies. In this brief, we examine the impact of diabetes in Texas and patterns in its prevalence across groups, geographies, and over time. [View Report]

2018 Population Projections

December 07, 2018
The 2018 Population Projections and methodology are now available from the Texas Demographic Center. These projections of the population of the state and all its counties are available by age, sex, and race/ethnicity. This set of projections incorporates 2010 to 2015 migration trends and includes an additional race/ethnicity category, non-Hispanic Asian. You can find the latest projections with demographic detail for the state and its counties on the Data page of our website. The data are also available for download using our Population Projections Data Tool. [View Projections]

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